Sunforger
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Sunforger
Final zone distribution
129 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Cloud, Ex-SOLDIER
36 decks
-
2
Queen Marchesa
30 decks
-
3
Captain America, First Avenger
27 decks
-
4
Mabel, Heir to Cragflame
20 decks
-
5
Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh
15 decks
-
6
Feather, the Redeemed
14 decks
-
7
Lightning, Army of One
12 decks
-
8
Wyleth, Soul of Steel
11 decks
-
9
Firesong and Sunspeaker
10 decks
-
10
Amy Rose
7 decks
The "good card" funnel
678 brought · 291 playersOnce cast, 85% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=64) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=403).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=28).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +0.7pp; 95% confidence interval -5.8pp to +7.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.