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Part of March of the Machine
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Legendary Creature — Human Bear
·
March of the Machine (MOM)
Card Preview
Surrak and Goreclaw
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
210
Decks Running
109
In Decks
933
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Final zone distribution
44 instances2.3%
Library
52.3%
Battlefield
22.7%
Graveyard
22.7%
Hand
Commanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Helga, Skittish Seer
11 decks
-
2
Ayula, Queen Among Bears
8 decks
-
3
Ghalta, Primal Hunger
7 decks
-
4
Kudo, King Among Bears
6 decks
-
5
Fynn, the Fangbearer
4 decks
-
6
Ruby, Daring Tracker
4 decks
-
7
Jodah, the Unifier
3 decks
-
8
Serah Farron // Crystallized Serah
3 decks
-
9
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
2 decks
-
10
Beorn the Fierce
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
210 brought · 100 playersBrought to game
210
Ever drawn
40
Reached battlefield
31
Still on board at game end
23
Once cast, 74% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
≥ -8.3pp
Players who cast this card win 32% of the time (n=30) , vs 23% when it never left the library (n=153).
Observed gap +8.3pp; 95% confidence interval -8.3pp to +24.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.
First-cast turn
n=31
0%
T1
3%
T2
3%
T3
10%
T4
13%
T5
52%
T6-9
19%
T10+
Median
6
P25
5
· P75
9
· max
14
On curve
52%
(7 / 31 cast on T6)
Cast same turn as drawn
33%
31 of 100 times cast
31%
Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.
Frequently Asked
Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 640,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.