Tarnished Citadel
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Tarnished Citadel
Final zone distribution
85 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Darien, King of Kjeldor
10 decks
-
2
Sisay, Weatherlight Captain
10 decks
-
3
Kinnan, Bonder Prodigy
9 decks
-
4
Najeela, the Blade-Blossom
9 decks
-
5
Rowan, Scion of War
9 decks
-
6
Kraum, Ludevic's Opus
8 decks
-
7
Krark, the Thumbless
7 decks
-
8
Animar, Soul of Elements
6 decks
-
9
Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements
6 decks
-
10
Crystal, Inhuman Princess
6 decks
The "good card" funnel
397 brought · 203 playersOnce cast, 95% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=44) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=218).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=16).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.7pp; 95% confidence interval -5.4pp to +10.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.