Card Preview

Thancred Waters

· Legendary Creature — Human Warrior · Final Fantasy Commander (FIC)

Buy on TCGplayer

Times Brought

221

Decks Running

143

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Thancred Waters

Legendary Creature — Human Warrior

Flash Royal Guard — When Thancred Waters enters, another target legendary permanent you control gains indestructible for as long as you control Thancred Waters. Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, Thancred Waters gains indestructible until end of turn.

3 / 5

Final Fantasy Commander (FIC) · Rare · Illustrated by Wisnu Tan

Final zone distribution

55 instances

25.5%

Battlefield

21.8%

Graveyard

7.3%

Exile

45.5%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

221 brought · 143 players

Brought to game

221

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 54% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -7.3pp

Players who cast this card win 27% of the time (n=15) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=109).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.5pp; 95% confidence interval -7.3pp to +20.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=26

15%

46%

T6-9

38%

T10+

Median 8.5 P25 6 · P75 11 · max 16

On curve 15% (0 / 26 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 23%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.