Live Play Data

The Eagles Are Coming!

· Instant · The Hobbit (HOB)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

197

Decks Running

105

Median Cast Turn

9.0

Drawn → Played

49%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=20

75%

T6-9

15%

T10+

Median 9.0 P25 8 · P75 9 · max 11

On curve 5% (0 / 20 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

197 brought · 98 players

Brought to game

197

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -19.2pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=19) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=115).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 27% (n=21).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +1.3pp; 95% confidence interval -19.2pp to +21.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

47 instances

2.1%

Library

8.5%

Battlefield

44.7%

Graveyard

6.4%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

The Eagles Are Coming!

Instant

Kicker

(You may pay an additional {2}

as you cast this spell.) Choose target creature you own. If this spell was kicked, instead choose any number of target creatures you own. Return each chosen creature to your hand. At the beginning of the next upkeep, create a 4/4 white Bird Soldier creature token with flying for each creature returned to your hand this way.

The Hobbit (HOB) · Rare · Illustrated by Zezhou Chen

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 700,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.