The Ur-Sphinx
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
The Ur-Sphinx
Final zone distribution
76 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Jace, Multiverse Architect
109 decks
-
2
Nissa, Leyline Tamer
5 decks
-
3
Yennett, Cryptic Sovereign
1 decks
-
4
Y'shtola, Night's Blessed
1 decks
The "good card" funnel
195 brought · 114 playersOnce cast, 64% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 37% of the time (n=41) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=95).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 33% (n=23).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +8.7pp; 95% confidence interval +0.2pp to +17.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.