Live Play Data

Think Twice

· Instant · Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

190

Decks Running

105

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

63%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=33

12%

18%

12%

42%

T6-9

12%

T10+

Median 6 P25 4 · P75 8 · max 12

On curve 3% (1 / 33 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 38%

The "good card" funnel

190 brought · 101 players

Brought to game

190

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

≥ -8.3pp

Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=29) , vs 17% when it never left the library (n=111).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=17).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +8.6pp; 95% confidence interval -8.3pp to +25.6pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

60 instances

6.7%

Library

41.7%

Graveyard

33.3%

Exile

18.3%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Think Twice

Instant

Draw a card. Flashback {2}

(You may cast this card from your graveyard for its flashback cost. Then exile it.)

Marvel Super Heroes Commander (MSC) · Common · Illustrated by Riccardo Federici

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.