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Thoughtcast card art
Card Preview

Thoughtcast

{4} {U} · Sorcery · March of the Machine Commander (MOC)
1%
Decklist Inclusion
Times Brought
466
Decks Running
224
In Decks
1587
Decklist Inclusion
1%
Format
Card text
Thoughtcast card

Thoughtcast

{4} {U}
Sorcery
Affinity for artifacts (This spell costs {1} less to cast for each artifact you control.) Draw two cards.
March of the Machine Commander (MOC) · Common · Illustrated by Greg Hildebrandt

Final zone distribution

117 instances
1.7%
Library
0.9%
Battlefield
70.1%
Graveyard
4.3%
Exile

The "good card" funnel

466 brought · 208 players
Brought to game
466
Ever drawn
111
Reached battlefield
73
Still on board at game end
1
≥ -4.3pp

Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=63) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=304).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 18% (n=34) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +7.0pp; 95% confidence interval -4.3pp to +18.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=73
0%
T1
1%
T2
4%
T3
15%
T4
25%
T5
49%
T6-9
5%
T10+
Median 6 P25 5 · P75 7 · max 15
On curve 45% (18 / 73 cast on T5) Cast same turn as drawn 43%
73 of 100 times cast 73%

Full analysis unlocks as more games are tracked. Stats refresh nightly.

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Basic play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games; the full deep-dive page needs a larger, more diverse sample (at least 300 tracked games played by 10 or more different pilots, with no single pilot over 40 percent of the copies). Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 660,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.