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format_list_numbered #3 red counterspell
Tibalt's Trickery card art
Live Play Data

Tibalt's Trickery

{1} {R} · Instant · Kaldheim (KHM)
5%
Live Inclusion
Buy on TCGplayer
Times Brought
3105
Decks Running
1412
Median Cast Turn
6.0
Drawn → Played
53%
Format
Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=356
1%
T1
1%
T2
6%
T3
10%
T4
19%
T5
53%
T6-9
10%
T10+
Median 6.0 P25 5 · P75 8 · max 22
On curve 2% (3 / 356 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 22%

The "good card" funnel

3105 brought · 1076 players
Brought to game
3105
Ever drawn
673
Reached battlefield
356
Still on board at game end
32
≥ -3.1pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=315) , vs 27% when it never left the library (n=2061).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 29% (n=289).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.1pp; 95% confidence interval -3.1pp to +7.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

773 instances
3.8%
Library
4.1%
Battlefield
51.0%
Graveyard
9.3%
Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games
Card text
Tibalt's Trickery card

Tibalt's Trickery

{1} {R}
Instant
Counter target spell. Choose 1, 2, or 3 at random. Its controller mills that many cards, then exiles cards from the top of their library until they exile a nonland card with a different name than that spell. They may cast that card without paying its mana cost. Then they put the exiled cards on the bottom of their library in a random order.
Kaldheim (KHM) · Rare · Illustrated by Anna Podedworna

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?
Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.
How is Playgroup Live card data collected?
Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.