Willie Lumpkin, Postman
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Willie Lumpkin, Postman
Final zone distribution
80 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Mister Fantastic
53 decks
-
2
Invisible Woman
29 decks
-
3
Massimo, the Magician
5 decks
-
4
The Thing
5 decks
-
5
Jin Sakai, Ghost of Tsushima
4 decks
-
6
King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope Enduring
3 decks
-
7
Kynaios and Tiro of Meletis
3 decks
-
8
Ms. Bumbleflower
3 decks
-
9
Whtz, the Bibliophile
3 decks
-
10
Crystal, Inhuman Princess
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
272 brought · 129 playersOnce cast, 59% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=48) , vs 21% when it never left the library (n=136).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 28% (n=16).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +7.5pp; 95% confidence interval -0.7pp to +15.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.