Baxter, Fly in the Ointment
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Baxter, Fly in the Ointment
Final zone distribution
72 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Leonardo, the Balance
78 decks
-
2
Heroes in a Half Shell
44 decks
-
3
Michelangelo, the Heart
7 decks
-
4
Donatello, the Brains
4 decks
-
5
The Wise Mothman
3 decks
-
6
Mikey & Don, Party Planners
2 decks
-
7
Ms. Bumbleflower
2 decks
-
8
Raphael, the Muscle
2 decks
-
9
The Astonishing Ant-Man
2 decks
-
10
Whtz, the Bibliophile
2 decks
The "good card" funnel
423 brought · 170 playersOnce cast, 62% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=31) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=259).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 20% (n=20).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +1.2pp; 95% confidence interval -8.1pp to +10.5pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.