Branching Evolution
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Branching Evolution
Final zone distribution
453 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
The Wise Mothman
106 decks
-
2
Hakbal of the Surging Soul
94 decks
-
3
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian
36 decks
-
4
Zaxara, the Exemplary
36 decks
-
5
Zimone, Infinite Analyst
33 decks
-
6
Bristly Bill, Spine Sower
29 decks
-
7
The Astonishing Ant-Man
21 decks
-
8
Toph, the First Metalbender
21 decks
-
9
Voja, Jaws of the Conclave
21 decks
-
10
Gargos, Vicious Watcher
18 decks
The "good card" funnel
2276 brought · 883 playersOnce cast, 84% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 26% of the time (n=255) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=1355).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 16% (n=82).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +-0.0pp; 95% confidence interval -3.3pp to +3.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.