Live Play Data

Cold-Eyed Selkie

· Creature — Merfolk Rogue · Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

559

Decks Running

283

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

69%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=93

10%

26%

11%

34%

T6-9

11%

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 18

On curve 35% (24 / 93 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 25%

The "good card" funnel

559 brought · 273 players

Brought to game

559

Ever drawn

135

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 45% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +0.5pp

Players who cast this card win 30% of the time (n=81) , vs 19% when it never left the library (n=355).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 35% (n=34).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +10.4pp; 95% confidence interval +0.5pp to +20.3pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

147 instances

2.7%

Library

28.6%

Battlefield

37.4%

Graveyard

9.5%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Cold-Eyed Selkie

Creature — Merfolk Rogue

Islandwalk (This creature can't be blocked as long as defending player controls an Island.) Whenever this creature deals combat damage to a player, you may draw that many cards.

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Outlaws of Thunder Junction Commander (OTC) · Rare · Illustrated by Jaime Jones

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 720,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.