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Conspiracy Theorist

· Creature — Human Shaman · Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC)

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Times Brought

318

Decks Running

182

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Conspiracy Theorist

Creature — Human Shaman

Whenever this creature attacks, you may pay {1}

and discard a card. If you do, draw a card. Whenever you discard one or more nonland cards, you may exile one of them from your graveyard. If you do, you may cast it this turn.

2 / 2

Secrets of Strixhaven Commander (SOC) · Rare · Illustrated by Svetlin Velinov

Final zone distribution

79 instances

2.5%

Library

34.2%

Battlefield

41.8%

Graveyard

7.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Quintorius, History Chaser 129 decks
2 Flubs, the Fool 11 decks
3 Asmoranomardicadaistinaculdacar 4 decks
4 Captain Howler, Sea Scourge 3 decks
5 Chainer, Nightmare Adept 2 decks
6 Chira, All In 2 decks
7 Faldorn, Dread Wolf Herald 2 decks
8 Fire Lord Zuko 2 decks
9 Kefka, Court Mage // Kefka, Ruler of Ruin 2 decks
10 Knuckles the Echidna 2 decks

The "good card" funnel

318 brought · 169 players

Brought to game

318

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 57% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -6.6pp

Players who cast this card win 28% of the time (n=35) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=172).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.4pp; 95% confidence interval -6.6pp to +11.4pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=47

15%

13%

43%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 23% (4 / 47 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 49%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 740,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.