Determined Iteration
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Determined Iteration
Final zone distribution
80 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Rootha, Mastering the Moment
86 decks
-
2
Atla Palani, Nest Tender
10 decks
-
3
The Jolly Balloon Man
7 decks
-
4
Deadpool, Trading Card
6 decks
-
5
Obeka, Brute Chronologist
5 decks
-
6
Ashling, the Limitless
4 decks
-
7
Goro-Goro and Satoru
4 decks
-
8
Saheeli, Radiant Creator
4 decks
-
9
Zinnia, Valley's Voice
4 decks
-
10
Mishra, Eminent One
3 decks
The "good card" funnel
311 brought · 161 playersOnce cast, 87% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=43) , vs 25% when it never left the library (n=159).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 21% (n=19).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +6.4pp; 95% confidence interval -1.9pp to +14.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.