Key to the City
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
Key to the City
Final zone distribution
127 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Terra, Herald of Hope
65 decks
-
2
Captain Howler, Sea Scourge
10 decks
-
3
Magar of the Magic Strings
10 decks
-
4
Squall, SeeD Mercenary
8 decks
-
5
Greasefang, Okiba Boss
5 decks
-
6
Anje Falkenrath
4 decks
-
7
Celes, Rune Knight
4 decks
-
8
Hashaton, Scarab's Fist
4 decks
-
9
Norman Osborn // Green Goblin
4 decks
-
10
Osgir, the Reconstructor
4 decks
The "good card" funnel
437 brought · 227 playersOnce cast, 86% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=62) , vs 26% when it never left the library (n=235).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=25).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +2.9pp; 95% confidence interval -3.9pp to +9.7pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.