Card Preview

Pond Prophet

· Creature — Frog Advisor · Bloomburrow (BLB)

Decklist Inclusion

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Times Brought

Decks Running

In Decks

239

Decklist Inclusion

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Card text

Pond Prophet

Creature — Frog Advisor

When this creature enters, draw a card.

1 / 1

Bloomburrow (BLB) · Common · Illustrated by Simon Dominic

Final zone distribution

31 instances

Not enough tracked games yet to show a reliable final-zone breakdown.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

The "good card" funnel

96 brought · 45 players

Brought to game

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 35% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ +12.0pp

Players who cast this card win 47% of the time (n=19) , vs 14% when it never left the library (n=49).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +33.1pp; 95% confidence interval +12.0pp to +54.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=23

26%

39%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 35% (6 / 23 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 39%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 690,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.