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Pond Prophet

· Creature — Frog Advisor · Bloomburrow (BLB)

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Times Brought

116

Decks Running

In Decks

—

Decklist Inclusion

—

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.

Card text

Pond Prophet

Creature — Frog Advisor

When this creature enters, draw a card.

1 / 1

Bloomburrow (BLB) · Common · Illustrated by Simon Dominic

Final zone distribution

37 instances

43.2%

Battlefield

29.7%

Graveyard

10.8%

Exile

16.2%

Hand

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Clement, the Worrywort 19 decks
2 Grolnok, the Omnivore 17 decks
3 Glarb, Calamity's Augur 12 decks
4 Helga, Skittish Seer 2 decks
5 Lagrella, the Magpie 2 decks
6 Momir Vig, Simic Visionary 2 decks
7 Morophon, the Boundless 2 decks
8 Aang, at the Crossroads // Aang, Destined Savior 1 decks
9 Aragorn, the Uniter 1 decks
10 Atraxa, Grand Unifier 1 decks

The "good card" funnel

116 brought · 62 players

Brought to game

116

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 55% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -10.4pp

Players who cast this card win 23% of the time (n=22) , vs 20% when it never left the library (n=49).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +2.3pp; 95% confidence interval -10.4pp to +15.0pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

First-cast turn

n=29

21%

10%

17%

34%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 11

On curve 28% (6 / 29 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 50%

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 750,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live seats playing virtual cards, a subset of that corpus.