The Earth Crystal
Showing 1v1 (duel) data only. 1v1 is a different format from multiplayer Commander, so these numbers are not comparable.
The Earth Crystal
Final zone distribution
214 instancesCommanders that played this card
in tracked games-
1
Toph, the First Metalbender
31 decks
-
2
Tidus, Yuna's Guardian
22 decks
-
3
Tifa Lockhart
18 decks
-
4
Beorn the Fierce
13 decks
-
5
Toph, Earthbending Master
13 decks
-
6
The Astonishing Ant-Man
12 decks
-
7
Ayula, Queen Among Bears
11 decks
-
8
Voja, Jaws of the Conclave
11 decks
-
9
Gargos, Vicious Watcher
10 decks
-
10
Miles Morales // Ultimate Spider-Man
10 decks
The "good card" funnel
1126 brought · 454 playersOnce cast, 87% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.
Players who cast this card win 31% of the time (n=117) , vs 28% when it never left the library (n=695).
When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 26% (n=43).
Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.
Observed gap +3.1pp; 95% confidence interval -1.6pp to +7.8pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.