Live Play Data

Tireless Provisioner

· Creature — Elf Scout · March of the Machine Commander (MOC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

978

Decks Running

465

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

70%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

8% of tracked Commander decks run Tireless Provisioner, and 70% of drawn copies reach the battlefield, with a median first-cast turn of 5.0.

Tireless Provisioner sits in 8% of the 5531 Commander decks that have played a tracked game on Playgroup Live. That translates to 465 distinct decks across 923 tracked games, a consistent presence in green landfall and token strategies.

The draw-to-play rate of 70% tells a straightforward story: when players draw this card, the large majority cast it before the game ends. Median first cast lands on turn 5.0, which is right on the card's mana value of 3. The distribution is wide, though, with a notable cluster of early casts driven by opening-hand keeps and a long tail stretching into the late game.

At 53% battlefield stickiness, the Provisioner is removed or sacrificed more often than a typical utility creature. That tracks with its role: it generates Food and Treasure tokens that actively invite sacrifice synergies, meaning many copies leave the battlefield by design rather than by opponent removal. The commander spread is broad and multicolored, anchored by token, Food, and landfall strategies.

At a glance

8% of tracked Commander decks include Tireless Provisioner
70% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
T5.0 median first-cast turn, matching its 3-mana cost
53% battlefield stickiness once cast, reflecting frequent sacrifice use
419 distinct players have brought this card to a tracked game
29% win rate in games where Tireless Provisioner resolved

First-cast turn

n=190

21%

16%

17%

32%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 3 · P75 7 · max 13

On curve 30% (39 / 190 cast on T3) Cast same turn as drawn 35%

The "good card" funnel

978 brought · 419 players

Brought to game

978

Ever drawn

272

Reached battlefield

190

Still on board at game end

100

70%

Of 978 Tireless Provisioners brought to games, 272 were drawn, 190 of those were cast, and 53% of cast copies remained on the battlefield at game end.

≥ -2.4pp

Players who cast this card win 29% of the time (n=180) , vs 24% when it never left the library (n=609).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 41% (n=77) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +4.3pp; 95% confidence interval -2.4pp to +10.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

305 instances

2.3%

Library

32.8%

Battlefield

35.1%

Graveyard

6.2%

Exile

Most Tireless Provisioner copies end the game in the graveyard or on the battlefield, with very few stranded in the library. That is unusual for a singleton creature and reflects how often players prioritize casting it when drawn.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit 29 decks
2 Chatterfang, Squirrel General 25 decks
3 Hazel of the Rootbloom 24 decks
4 Toph, the First Metalbender 22 decks
5 Hearthhull, the Worldseed 21 decks
6 Ygra, Eater of All 17 decks
7 Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait 15 decks
8 Flubs, the Fool 14 decks
9 Baylen, the Haymaker 13 decks
10 Yarok, the Desecrated 11 decks

The commander list spans token synergies, Food payoffs, and landfall engines across green and multicolor builds, showing that Tireless Provisioner is a role-player across multiple archetypes rather than a narrow specialist.

Frequently Asked

How often is Tireless Provisioner drawn in a Commander game?

Across 923 tracked games where Tireless Provisioner was in a deck, it was drawn 28% of the time. That is consistent with what a singleton in a 100-card deck typically sees. Of those 272 drawn copies, 70% were cast before the game concluded.

What turn does Tireless Provisioner usually hit the battlefield?

Median first cast is turn 5.0, right on its 3-mana curve. The distribution is wide: a cluster appears on turns 1 and 2 from players who kept it in their opening hand alongside ramp, while the bulk of casts fall between turns 3 and 7. The long tail extends to turn 13, reflecting copies drawn in the mid-to-late game. Same-turn cast rate is 35%, meaning many players hold it at least a turn before finding the right moment.

Does casting Tireless Provisioner improve your win rate?

There is an early directional signal. Win rate in games where the card resolved is 29%, compared to 24% in games where it stayed in the library. The raw delta is +4.3 percentage points. However, both the sample size and the confidence interval mean this should be read as directional rather than conclusive. The card's value is most plausible in dedicated landfall and token engines.

Which commanders most often run Tireless Provisioner?

The top commanders on Playgroup Live span a wide range of strategies. Frodo, Adventurous Hobbit leads among multiplayer pods with 20 decks, followed by Chatterfang, Squirrel General and Hazel of the Rootbloom at 18 each. That spread across token, Food, and landfall commanders reflects how broadly the Provisioner fits into green strategies that want artifacts on the board.

Is Tireless Provisioner legal in Commander?

Yes, Tireless Provisioner is fully legal in Commander, as well as Legacy, Modern, Vintage, Historic, and Timeless. It is not legal in Pioneer, Standard, Pauper, or Pauper Commander. No bans or restrictions apply in any format where it is currently legal.

How concentrated is the Tireless Provisioner data across players?

The data is well spread. 419 distinct players have brought Tireless Provisioner to a tracked game on Playgroup Live, and no single player accounts for more than a small fraction of all instances. That breadth is a meaningful signal: the card's numbers are not dominated by one player's repeated games, which makes the directional patterns more credible given the overall sample size.