Live Play Data

Oft-Nabbed Goat

· Creature — Goat · Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

265

Decks Running

126

Median Cast Turn

Drawn → Played

68%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

First-cast turn

n=49

18%

10%

33%

T6-9

16%

T10+

Median 5 P25 3 · P75 8 · max 13

On curve 22% (9 / 49 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 47%

The "good card" funnel

265 brought · 115 players

Brought to game

265

Ever drawn

Reached battlefield

Still on board at game end

Once cast, 35% of this card is still on the battlefield at game end. This reflects how often it survives removal, not just whether it's a permanent.

≥ -7.0pp

Players who cast this card win 24% of the time (n=47) , vs 18% when it never left the library (n=164).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 14% (n=23).

Read this as correlation, not as the card's contribution. Casting a card means you lived long enough to cast it, so this gap widens with mana value across every card we track.

Observed gap +6.1pp; 95% confidence interval -7.0pp to +19.2pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

83 instances

6.0%

Library

20.5%

Battlefield

50.6%

Graveyard

9.6%

Exile

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

Card text

Oft-Nabbed Goat

Creature — Goat

: Draw a card. Gain control of this creature and put a -1/-1 counter on it. Only your opponents may activate this ability and only as a sorcery. When this creature dies, if it had one or more -1/-1 counters on it, its owner draws that many cards and each other player loses that much life.

0 / 5

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander (ECC) · Rare · Illustrated by Mariah Tekulve

Frequently Asked

Why isn't there more data on this card?

Playgroup Live collects per-card gameplay data from real Commander games. Play counts appear once a card reaches 100 tracked games, and the full charts need a sample of at least 25 observed games that is not dominated by a single pilot. Until this card clears those bars you're seeing only the basic counts. Stats refresh nightly.

How is Playgroup Live card data collected?

Players using Playgroup Live import their decklists before a game and log card actions as they play. Each cast, zone change, and resolution is recorded as a real game event. Stats on this site are computed from those events, not from decklist scrapes or theorycrafting. Playgroup has recorded 670,000+ Commander games overall, and this card-level play data comes from the Playgroup Live subset of that corpus.