Live Play Data

Explore

· Sorcery · Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE)

Live Inclusion

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Times Brought

1308

Decks Running

723

Median Cast Turn

5.0

Drawn → Played

71%

Format

Multiplayer 1v1

Explore appears in 9% of tracked Commander decks on Playgroup Live. When drawn, 71% of copies reach the cast step, with a median first-cast turn of 5.0.

Explore sits in 9% of Commander decks tracked on Playgroup Live, appearing across 723 of the 7796 distinct decks that have played a live game. For a 2-mana common with no standalone board presence, that share reflects a deliberate role: ramp that replaces itself.

The cast-vs-library win-rate delta is +12.4 percentage points, with the lower bound of the confidence interval clearing zero. That is the strongest directional signal we have that resolving Explore correlates with winning. Winning teams tend to resolve their cantrip ramp; teams that never draw it tend to fall behind. Both halves of the card, the land drop and the draw, contribute to that gap. The sample of 202 cast observations is large enough to take the direction seriously, though Playgroup Live's dataset is still growing and these figures should be read as early signal rather than settled fact.

The commander distribution skews toward land-matters and stompy strategies. Bello, Bard of the Brambles and Hakbal of the Surging Soul lead the list, both archetypes that reward extra land drops directly. The data is well-spread: 589 distinct players have brought Explore to a tracked game, and no single player accounts for more than 24% of all instances.

At a glance

9% of tracked Commander decks include Explore
71% of drawn copies are cast before the game ends
T5.0 median first-cast turn
+12.4pp win-rate lift when cast vs. when it stays in the library
589 distinct players have brought Explore to a tracked game
34% win rate in games where Explore was cast

First-cast turn

n=228

23%

10%

37%

T6-9

T10+

Median 5.0 P25 2 · P75 7 · max 17

On curve 29% (52 / 228 cast on T2) Cast same turn as drawn 48%

The "good card" funnel

1308 brought · 589 players

Brought to game

1308

Ever drawn

319

Reached battlefield

228

Still on board at game end

71%

Of 1308 Explores brought to tracked games, 319 were drawn, 228 of those were cast, and nearly all resolved to the graveyard as intended since Explore is a sorcery with no battlefield presence.

≥ +5.9pp

Players who cast this card win 34% of the time (n=202) , vs 22% when it never left the library (n=850).

When players drew this card but left it in hand, they won 24% (n=77) — about the same as leaving it in the library. Those players survived long enough to draw it, so the gap above is about the card resolving, not just about surviving.

Observed gap +12.4pp; 95% confidence interval +5.9pp to +18.9pp. Correlational, not causal: powerful payoffs also get cast more often in games you are already winning.

Final zone distribution

355 instances

2.8%

Library

0.3%

Battlefield

73.8%

Graveyard

6.8%

Exile

The vast majority of Explore copies finish in the graveyard, exactly as expected for a sorcery that resolves and goes to the yard. The small library residual represents copies that were never drawn across 1236 tracked games.

Commanders that played this card

in tracked games

1 Bello, Bard of the Brambles 39 decks
2 Hakbal of the Surging Soul 35 decks
3 Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait 34 decks
4 Trostani, Selesnya's Voice 29 decks
5 The Swarmlord 28 decks
6 Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements 16 decks
7 Tifa Lockhart 16 decks
8 Flubs, the Fool 12 decks
9 The Astonishing Ant-Man 12 decks
10 The Ur-Dragon 12 decks

Bello and Hakbal tie at the top of the multiplayer list with 18 decks each, and the remaining commanders spread across green-blue landfall, green-red stompy, and five-color goodstuff archetypes, showing Explore has a home in most green strategies that care about land development.

Card text

Explore

Sorcery

You may play an additional land this turn. Draw a card.

Avatar: The Last Airbender Eternal (TLE) · Common · Illustrated by Maojin Lee

Frequently Asked

How often is Explore drawn in a Commander game?

In 1236 tracked multiplayer Commander games where Explore was in the deck, it was drawn 24% of the time. That is typical for a singleton in a 100-card deck. Of 319 instances that reached a player's hand, 71% were cast before the game ended. The remaining copies are almost always a game-length effect: Explore drawn very late often has no time to resolve before the game concludes.

What turn does Explore typically get cast?

Median first-cast turn is 5.0, with a mode of turn 2, meaning early opening-hand draws are the most common single cluster. The distribution is wide, however: the 25th percentile lands on turn 2 and the 75th on turn 7, so a meaningful share of Explores resolve well into the mid-game. The mean of 5.17 confirms the spread is right-skewed by occasional late draws.

Does casting Explore actually help you win?

The normalized win rate when Explore is cast is 34% across 202 observations. Win rate when it never leaves the library is 22% across 850 observations. The delta is +12.4 percentage points, and the statistical lower bound clears zero, making this a genuine directional signal in our dataset. Playgroup Live tracks around 1236 multiplayer games, so treat this as early evidence rather than a definitive proof.

Is Explore legal in Commander?

Yes. Explore is legal in Commander, Duel Commander, Pauper Commander, Oathbreaker, Legacy, Modern, Vintage, Historic, and several other formats. It is not legal in Standard, Pioneer, Alchemy, or Penny Dreadful. There are no bans or restrictions in Commander.

Which commanders most commonly run Explore?

On Playgroup Live, Bello, Bard of the Brambles and Hakbal of the Surging Soul each lead the multiplayer list with 18 decks apiece, followed by Aesi, Tyrant of Gyre Strait with 15. All three reward extra land drops directly, making Explore's dual function of land-drop enablement and card replacement a tight fit. The Ur-Dragon and several five-color commanders also appear, consistent with Explore being a color-efficient ramp option in green-inclusive goodstuff shells.

How quickly do players cast Explore after drawing it?

Of the 202 cast observations where hand-to-cast timing was recorded, 48% were cast on the same turn the card was drawn. The median delay is 1 turn and the average is just over 1 turn. Explore is not universally slammed the moment it enters hand, which makes sense: players sometimes wait for a land to drop alongside it to maximize the extra land-drop text.