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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Top Red commanders by win rate right now: Zirilan of the Claw, Themberchaud, and Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest. Red commanders have a 22.63% win rate across 4,376 games tracked in the last 30 days on Playgroup.gg, below the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

71
Ranked
4,376
Games
Win Rate
22.63%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
4,376
Last 30 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 23m
7.8 rounds
Commanders
71
With 10+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (43.3% of wins) across 4,376 tracked games.

Combat 43.3%
Non Combat Damage 34.7%
Commander Damage 9.5%
Combo 8.4%
Alternative 3.4%
Mill 0.6%
Poison 0.1%

Game Concentration

10 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

10
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

201 of 506 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

39.7%
Coverage
201 played 506 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

71
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 58.33% 18 ▲+10.83%
2 S 53.85% 13 ▲+14.96%
3 S 41.96% 28 ▲+15.82%
4 S 38.51% 37 ▲+11.72%
5 S 38.13% 20 ▲+10.75%
6 S 36.36% 11 ▲+15.77%
7 S 35.9% 39 ▲+17.15%
8 S 35.85% 106 ▲+8.17%
9 A 34.87% 19 ▲+25.72%
10 A 32.81% 16 ▲+3.86%
11 A 30.19% 253 ▼-6.4%
12 B 29.3% 32 ▲+6.64%
13 B 29.17% 24 ▼-17.26%
14 B 29.17% 18 NEW
15 B 28.85% 13 ▼-4.48%
16 B 28.85% 13 ▲+22.6%
17 B 28.71% 101 ~
18 B 28.41% 44 ▲+16.57%
19 B 27.04% 98 ~
20 B 26.92% 13 ▼-15.73%
21 B 26.79% 28 ▲+7.44%
22 B 26.61% 31 ~
23 B 26.44% 26 ▼-9.27%
24 B 26.14% 44 ▼-12.86%
25 B 25.44% 873 ▼-3.14%
26 B 25.0% 14 ▲+9.62%
27 B 24.54% 54 ▼-21.02%
28 B 23.87% 111 ~
29 B 23.33% 45 ▲+11.21%
30 B 23.24% 85 ▼-4.85%
31 B 23.08% 13 NEW
32 C 22.94% 109 ▲+5.35%
33 C 22.92% 24 ▲+3.18%
34 C 22.77% 207 ▼-9.09%
35 C 22.5% 10 ▲+12.5%
36 C 22.5% 10 ▼-8.27%
37 C 22.22% 27 ▼-5.23%
38 C 21.67% 30 ~
39 C 21.43% 14 ▼-9.82%
40 C 19.64% 14 ▲+12.97%
41 D 17.78% 220 ~
42 D 17.65% 17 ▲+12.65%
43 D 17.5% 10 ▲+17.5%
44 D 17.19% 232 ~
45 D 17.03% 69 ▼-7.97%
46 D 16.5% 50 ~
47 D 16.33% 49 ▼-13.59%
48 D 16.18% 17 ▼-10.9%
49 D 16.11% 52 ▲+7.36%
50 D 16.07% 14 ▲+3.57%
51 D 16.0% 75 ~
52 D 15.79% 19 NEW
53 D 15.73% 58 ▼-11.41%
54 D 15.63% 16 ▼-3.49%
55 D 15.5% 50 ▼-6.67%
56 D 15.48% 42 ~
57 D 15.48% 21 ~
58 D 15.38% 13 ▲+5.38%
59 D 14.39% 132 ▼-5.36%
60 D 14.17% 30 ▼-12.5%
61 D 13.89% 18 ~
62 D 13.07% 22 ▼-6.5%
63 D 11.88% 40 ▼-12.82%
64 D 10.53% 57 ▼-22.8%
65 D 10.42% 12 ▼-11.7%
66 D 10.0% 10 ▼-10.19%
67 D 9.09% 22 ▼-3.41%
68 D 9.09% 11 ▼-4.55%
69 D 6.25% 24 ▼-8.75%
70 D 5.36% 14 ▼-20.47%
71 D 4.35% 23 ▼-11.72%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 22.63% win rate across 4,376 tracked casual Commander games in the last 30 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 71 Red commanders with at least 10 recorded games and at least 3 distinct registered pilots in the last 30 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 30 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: