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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Top Red commanders by win rate right now: Zirilan of the Claw, Dragonhawk, Fate's Tempest, and Muxus, Goblin Grandee. Red commanders have a 25.72% win rate across 19,765 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

98
Ranked
19,765
Games
Win Rate
25.72%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
19,765
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 31m
7.9 rounds
Commanders
98
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (44.0% of wins) across 19,765 tracked games.

Combat 44.0%
Non Combat Damage 36.1%
Commander Damage 8.5%
Combo 7.4%
Alternative 2.9%
Mill 0.7%
Poison 0.4%

Game Concentration

10 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

10
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

270 of 506 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

53.4%
Coverage
270 played 506 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

98
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 45.45% 77 NEW
2 S 37.15% 142 ▲+4.98%
3 S 35.36% 169 ~
4 S 35.07% 72 ▲+7.85%
5 A 34.85% 33 NEW
6 A 34.17% 30 ▲+10.7%
7 A 33.71% 198 ▲+5.57%
8 A 33.62% 29 ▲+4.92%
9 A 32.6% 130 ~
10 A 32.47% 1096 ~
11 A 32.14% 70 ▲+3.06%
12 A 32.04% 458 ~
13 A 31.58% 38 NEW
14 A 31.1% 41 ▲+7.06%
15 A 30.98% 1345 ~
16 A 30.1% 49 ▲+6.37%
17 B 29.91% 56 ▲+9.67%
18 B 29.9% 209 NEW
19 B 29.81% 161 ▼-5.43%
20 B 29.79% 73 ▲+7.72%
21 B 29.55% 99 ▼-4.05%
22 B 29.39% 57 NEW
23 B 29.32% 159 ▲+9.39%
24 B 29.06% 117 ~
25 B 28.99% 3741 ~
26 B 28.38% 207 NEW
27 B 28.17% 347 ~
28 B 28.13% 32 NEW
29 B 27.91% 103 ▼-6.71%
30 B 27.67% 75 NEW
31 B 27.66% 630 ▼-5.05%
32 B 27.35% 149 ▲+3.13%
33 B 26.79% 28 NEW
34 B 26.51% 697 ~
35 B 26.45% 655 ~
36 B 26.32% 38 ▲+3.24%
37 B 26.25% 360 ~
38 B 26.25% 160 ▼-4.43%
39 B 26.19% 63 ▲+10.43%
40 B 25.89% 28 NEW
41 B 25.81% 31 ~
42 B 25.51% 148 ~
43 B 25.28% 177 ▲+4.34%
44 B 25.16% 153 ~
45 B 25.0% 28 NEW
46 B 25.0% 92 NEW
47 B 24.58% 59 ▲+4.3%
48 B 24.13% 187 ▼-4.13%
49 B 23.8% 167 ▲+8.99%
50 B 23.58% 291 ▼-4.94%
51 B 23.39% 31 ▼-15.07%
52 B 23.21% 42 NEW
53 B 23.03% 76 ▼-3.06%
54 C 22.89% 71 ~
55 C 22.75% 100 ▲+14.19%
56 C 22.73% 110 ▲+8.31%
57 C 22.7% 98 ▲+7.64%
58 C 22.43% 525 ~
59 C 22.23% 307 ~
60 C 22.2% 192 ~
61 C 22.12% 78 ▲+4.26%
62 C 22.02% 42 ▲+7.02%
63 C 22.0% 50 ▲+13.15%
64 C 21.81% 102 ~
65 C 21.58% 139 ▲+4.77%
66 C 21.51% 43 NEW
67 C 21.32% 34 ▼-7.25%
68 C 21.15% 26 NEW
69 C 21.0% 25 ▲+17.43%
70 C 20.95% 330 ~
71 C 20.83% 66 ▼-10.69%
72 C 20.37% 27 NEW
73 C 20.27% 264 ~
74 C 19.85% 97 ~
75 C 19.4% 241 ~
76 C 19.26% 318 ▼-6.65%
77 C 18.97% 29 NEW
78 C 18.66% 1008 ~
79 C 18.45% 84 ~
80 C 18.41% 273 NEW
81 D 16.96% 28 NEW
82 D 16.93% 96 ▼-3.61%
83 D 16.53% 31 ~
84 D 16.45% 38 ▼-4.85%
85 D 16.39% 74 NEW
86 D 15.91% 77 ~
87 D 15.63% 48 NEW
88 D 14.83% 59 NEW
89 D 13.75% 40 NEW
90 D 13.71% 62 ▼-7.96%
91 D 13.29% 79 ▼-5.46%
92 D 13.02% 48 NEW
93 D 12.09% 154 NEW
94 D 11.29% 31 ▼-3.45%
95 D 10.58% 52 ▼-5.25%
96 D 9.46% 37 ▼-25.16%
97 D 8.59% 32 ▼-10.16%
98 D 8.42% 95 ▼-10.7%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 25.72% win rate across 19,765 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 98 Red commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: