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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 26.19% win rate across 18,320 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

97
Ranked
18,320
Games
Win Rate
26.19%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
18,320
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 30m
7.9 rounds
Commanders
97
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (43.7% of wins) across 18,320 tracked games.

Combat 43.7%
Non Combat Damage 36.7%
Commander Damage 8.5%
Combo 7.3%
Alternative 2.7%
Mill 0.7%
Poison 0.4%

Game Concentration

10 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

10
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

261 of 487 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

53.6%
Coverage
261 played 487 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

97
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 44.2% 69 +27.85%
2 S 39.0% 25 +14.89%
3 S 36.61% 28 NEW
4 S 35.57% 194 +7.52%
5 S 35.38% 159 -3.79%
6 A 34.78% 69 +6.13%
7 A 34.48% 29 NEW
8 A 34.38% 32 +11.17%
9 A 34.24% 165 NEW
10 A 34.24% 138 ~
11 A 33.87% 31 NEW
12 A 32.73% 1029 ~
13 A 32.64% 121 ~
14 A 32.39% 71 +11.65%
15 A 31.88% 40 +5.99%
16 A 31.73% 1251 +3.21%
17 A 31.61% 416 ~
18 A 31.4% 172 NEW
19 A 30.68% 66 ~
20 A 30.42% 60 +11.19%
21 B 29.49% 117 +8.9%
22 B 29.18% 3468 ~
23 B 29.03% 93 -4.56%
24 B 28.87% 336 ~
25 B 28.81% 630 -3.36%
26 B 28.75% 40 +4.41%
27 B 28.57% 35 NEW
28 B 28.37% 163 +3.85%
29 B 28.23% 31 +5.56%
30 B 28.15% 119 ~
31 B 28.13% 32 NEW
32 B 27.82% 142 ~
33 B 27.43% 144 -8.99%
34 B 27.31% 54 NEW
35 B 27.31% 65 NEW
36 B 27.18% 109 -9.88%
37 B 26.92% 26 NEW
38 B 26.77% 155 +4.23%
39 B 26.47% 34 ~
40 B 26.14% 721 ~
41 B 25.94% 133 ~
42 B 25.81% 339 ~
43 B 25.64% 78 +3.37%
44 B 25.44% 57 +7.26%
45 B 25.35% 181 ~
46 B 25.34% 73 NEW
47 B 25.31% 647 ~
48 B 25.0% 37 +7.69%
49 B 25.0% 25 NEW
50 B 24.64% 70 -5.85%
51 B 24.5% 303 +3.17%
52 B 24.38% 40 NEW
53 B 24.23% 65 +7.27%
54 B 24.22% 272 -5.58%
55 B 24.17% 181 ~
56 B 24.07% 108 +7.77%
57 B 23.35% 484 +3.52%
58 B 23.28% 160 +8.82%
59 C 22.97% 197 ~
60 C 22.52% 101 +11.03%
61 C 22.47% 89 ~
62 C 22.22% 81 +3.25%
63 C 22.07% 111 +8.14%
64 C 21.97% 33 -6.53%
65 C 21.95% 82 ~
66 C 21.92% 73 ~
67 C 21.88% 32 -15.19%
68 C 21.64% 67 -4.42%
69 C 20.79% 184 NEW
70 C 20.75% 241 ~
71 C 20.47% 149 -9.75%
72 C 19.88% 210 ~
73 C 19.64% 28 NEW
74 C 19.62% 316 -6.4%
75 C 19.21% 943 ~
76 C 18.99% 79 ~
77 C 18.97% 58 +8.6%
78 C 18.97% 29 NEW
79 D 17.61% 88 -3.28%
80 D 17.41% 56 NEW
81 D 16.89% 37 NEW
82 D 16.42% 67 ~
83 D 16.38% 58 ~
84 D 16.22% 37 NEW
85 D 15.95% 29 -5.3%
86 D 15.28% 36 -16.72%
87 D 15.18% 56 -3.87%
88 D 15.09% 53 NEW
89 D 13.89% 27 NEW
90 D 13.57% 35 NEW
91 D 13.46% 26 NEW
92 D 11.54% 26 NEW
93 D 10.61% 99 -9.27%
94 D 10.29% 34 -9.28%
95 D 10.21% 120 NEW
96 D 9.03% 54 -8.56%
97 D 5.17% 29 -14.27%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 26.19% win rate across 18,320 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 97 Red commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: