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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 25.84% win rate across 23,985 games tracked in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

110
Ranked
23,985
Games
Win Rate
25.84%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
23,985
Last 180 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 49m
7.9 rounds
Commanders
110
With 25+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (45.0% of wins) across 23,985 tracked games.

Combat 45.0%
Non Combat Damage 34.4%
Commander Damage 8.9%
Combo 7.6%
Alternative 3.2%
Mill 0.6%
Poison 0.3%

Game Concentration

10 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

10
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

281 of 562 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

50.0%
Coverage
281 played 562 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

110
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 51.16% 43 NEW
2 S 48.95% 95 ▲+23.09%
3 S 39.29% 70 ▲+12.21%
4 S 36.42% 173 ▲+7.99%
5 S 35.42% 547 ▲+8.6%
6 S 35.16% 64 ▲+11.12%
7 A 34.93% 73 ▲+7.02%
8 A 33.93% 154 ~
9 A 33.45% 1126 ~
10 A 32.31% 219 ▼-9.63%
11 A 31.88% 80 NEW
12 A 31.42% 265 NEW
13 A 31.37% 51 ~
14 A 31.11% 133 ~
15 A 30.77% 39 NEW
16 A 30.7% 79 ▲+7.78%
17 A 30.24% 286 NEW
18 A 30.17% 58 ~
19 A 30.15% 1558 ~
20 B 29.3% 4059 ~
21 B 29.17% 51 NEW
22 B 29.03% 62 ▲+14.03%
23 B 28.91% 115 ▼-4.15%
24 B 28.91% 32 NEW
25 B 28.68% 136 ~
26 B 28.54% 671 ▲+5.17%
27 B 28.5% 100 ▼-5.97%
28 B 28.47% 331 ~
29 B 28.41% 198 ▼-3.52%
30 B 28.01% 705 ▼-3.65%
31 B 27.87% 174 ▲+6.44%
32 B 27.82% 71 NEW
33 B 27.82% 182 ~
34 B 27.03% 123 NEW
35 B 26.67% 180 ▼-8.33%
36 B 26.66% 406 ▲+3.03%
37 B 26.32% 38 NEW
38 B 26.27% 700 ~
39 B 26.03% 73 ▲+11.23%
40 B 25.92% 190 ▲+4.04%
41 B 25.66% 38 NEW
42 B 25.46% 81 ▼-6.75%
43 B 25.4% 63 NEW
44 B 25.16% 79 NEW
45 B 25.0% 59 ▼-7.55%
46 B 24.42% 173 ▼-6.18%
47 B 24.19% 154 ~
48 B 24.13% 346 ~
49 B 23.78% 369 ▲+6.82%
50 B 23.7% 96 ▲+11.88%
51 B 23.62% 245 ▼-4.64%
52 B 23.61% 36 NEW
53 B 23.26% 129 ~
54 B 23.08% 39 NEW
55 C 22.96% 612 ~
56 C 22.32% 28 ~
57 C 22.14% 70 ▼-4.15%
58 C 22.14% 310 ~
59 C 21.81% 47 ▲+10.75%
60 C 21.77% 201 ~
61 C 21.74% 1570 ▼-5.07%
62 C 21.47% 78 NEW
63 C 21.43% 28 NEW
64 C 21.32% 493 NEW
65 C 21.09% 32 ▼-9.91%
66 C 21.04% 101 ~
67 C 20.97% 1139 ▲+4.06%
68 C 20.95% 37 ▼-4.05%
69 C 20.92% 319 ▼-3.29%
70 C 20.71% 396 ~
71 C 20.68% 139 ~
72 C 20.4% 87 ~
73 C 20.31% 32 ~
74 C 20.09% 28 NEW
75 C 20.07% 71 ~
76 C 19.77% 43 NEW
77 C 19.47% 95 ~
78 C 19.43% 92 NEW
79 C 19.35% 31 NEW
80 C 19.3% 57 NEW
81 C 19.17% 30 NEW
82 C 18.59% 39 NEW
83 C 18.5% 177 ▼-4.71%
84 C 18.18% 33 NEW
85 D 17.79% 52 ~
86 D 17.77% 83 ~
87 D 17.59% 27 NEW
88 D 17.5% 90 NEW
89 D 16.91% 68 NEW
90 D 16.72% 169 ~
91 D 16.67% 45 NEW
92 D 16.67% 30 NEW
93 D 16.55% 71 ~
94 D 16.51% 106 ▼-6.05%
95 D 16.45% 38 NEW
96 D 16.25% 30 NEW
97 D 16.11% 52 NEW
98 D 15.87% 104 ▼-5.4%
99 D 15.73% 31 ▲+4.19%
100 D 15.71% 113 NEW
101 D 14.02% 82 ▼-5.21%
102 D 13.46% 39 ▼-8.76%
103 D 12.57% 191 NEW
104 D 12.5% 34 ▼-17.5%
105 D 12.25% 51 ▲+3.38%
106 D 11.93% 109 ▼-4.35%
107 D 11.76% 34 NEW
108 D 10.63% 40 NEW
109 D 10.34% 29 ▼-12.45%
110 D 9.29% 35 ▼-3.61%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 25.84% win rate across 23,985 tracked casual Commander games in the last 180 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 110 Red commanders with at least 25 recorded games and at least 5 distinct registered pilots in the last 180 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 180 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: