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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 26.62% win rate across 7,832 games tracked in the last 90 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

76
Ranked
7,832
Games
Win Rate
26.62%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
7,832
Last 90 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 0m
8.0 rounds
Commanders
76
With 15+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (44.0% of wins) across 7,832 tracked games.

Combat 44.0%
Non Combat Damage 37.2%
Commander Damage 7.9%
Combo 6.9%
Alternative 3.0%
Mill 0.7%
Poison 0.3%

Game Concentration

9 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

9
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

200 of 425 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

47.1%
Coverage
200 played 425 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

76
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 45.45% 22 +21.64%
2 S 38.18% 74 +3.05%
3 S 36.44% 59 ~
4 S 35.47% 74 -26.2%
5 S 35.45% 67 +10.45%
6 S 35.38% 130 +6.76%
7 A 34.55% 55 +11.74%
8 A 34.38% 16 NEW
9 A 34.13% 52 +5.8%
10 A 33.64% 55 +5.98%
11 A 32.89% 19 NEW
12 A 32.64% 301 ~
13 A 32.42% 64 -5.08%
14 A 32.29% 48 +20.29%
15 A 32.21% 163 +4.94%
16 A 31.73% 26 +19.23%
17 A 31.68% 580 ~
18 A 31.67% 15 NEW
19 A 31.6% 53 +14.35%
20 A 31.14% 464 ~
21 A 30.0% 25 -3.82%
22 A 30.0% 90 +8.48%
23 B 29.92% 61 -4.54%
24 B 29.79% 1486 ~
25 B 29.61% 152 +6.31%
26 B 29.46% 28 -6.9%
27 B 29.41% 17 NEW
28 B 28.91% 64 +3.37%
29 B 28.33% 15 NEW
30 B 26.78% 323 +4.85%
31 B 26.75% 57 +11.12%
32 B 26.61% 31 ~
33 B 26.39% 18 NEW
34 B 26.35% 74 +10.1%
35 B 26.1% 181 +7.41%
36 B 25.24% 105 +3.57%
37 B 25.0% 18 NEW
38 B 25.0% 35 +10.0%
39 B 25.0% 30 ~
40 B 25.0% 24 NEW
41 B 24.71% 173 -6.13%
42 B 24.53% 53 +5.33%
43 B 23.91% 46 +9.72%
44 B 23.61% 54 ~
45 B 23.46% 81 ~
46 B 23.21% 70 +4.46%
47 C 22.5% 20 ~
48 C 22.46% 59 -13.79%
49 C 22.43% 136 ~
50 C 22.34% 273 ~
51 C 21.88% 32 NEW
52 C 21.53% 36 +6.4%
53 C 21.48% 128 -6.93%
54 C 21.43% 35 ~
55 C 20.69% 29 +4.78%
56 C 20.39% 38 ~
57 C 20.31% 16 NEW
58 C 19.95% 94 +3.08%
59 C 19.94% 158 -9.15%
60 C 19.05% 42 +16.97%
61 C 18.1% 29 -15.23%
62 C 18.06% 18 NEW
63 D 17.76% 38 -4.56%
64 D 17.4% 418 ~
65 D 17.0% 25 NEW
66 D 16.88% 40 ~
67 D 16.45% 38 -14.2%
68 D 16.18% 17 ~
69 D 15.91% 33 +4.55%
70 D 15.63% 16 -20.62%
71 D 10.0% 30 NEW
72 D 8.33% 24 -16.67%
73 D 8.06% 31 -8.61%
74 D 6.25% 16 -7.08%
75 D 6.25% 16 -19.41%
76 D 6.1% 41 -13.98%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 26.62% win rate across 7,832 tracked casual Commander games in the last 90 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 76 Red commanders with at least 15 recorded games and at least 4 distinct registered pilots in the last 90 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 90 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: