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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 24.77% win rate across 14,593 games tracked in the last 90 days on Playgroup.gg, below the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

109
Ranked
14,593
Games
Win Rate
24.77%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
14,593
Last 90 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 23m
7.8 rounds
Commanders
109
With 15+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (45.2% of wins) across 14,593 tracked games.

Combat 45.2%
Non Combat Damage 33.2%
Commander Damage 9.9%
Combo 8.0%
Alternative 3.0%
Mill 0.4%
Poison 0.2%

Game Concentration

10 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

10
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

254 of 562 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

45.2%
Coverage
254 played 562 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

109
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 56.16% 73 ▲+31.16%
2 S 56.0% 25 ▲+11.56%
3 S 45.71% 35 ▲+12.85%
4 S 40.63% 16 ▲+14.44%
5 S 39.86% 37 ▲+25.15%
6 S 38.64% 22 ▲+5.31%
7 S 37.3% 311 ▲+4.36%
8 S 36.96% 23 NEW
9 S 35.61% 33 ▲+12.0%
10 A 34.76% 41 ▲+8.44%
11 A 33.93% 668 ~
12 A 33.88% 38 NEW
13 A 33.45% 111 ▲+14.44%
14 A 32.87% 89 ~
15 A 32.41% 54 ~
16 A 31.45% 31 ▲+4.84%
17 A 31.37% 102 ▼-12.29%
18 A 30.45% 78 ▲+4.16%
19 B 29.77% 341 ~
20 B 29.56% 126 ▲+3.17%
21 B 29.41% 102 ▼-5.42%
22 B 29.11% 76 ~
23 B 28.64% 79 ▼-6.08%
24 B 28.37% 2293 ~
25 B 27.88% 382 ~
26 B 27.64% 104 ▲+3.8%
27 B 27.36% 53 ~
28 B 27.15% 233 ~
29 B 26.9% 79 ~
30 B 26.85% 81 ▲+5.62%
31 B 26.83% 41 ▲+6.0%
32 B 26.31% 153 ▼-4.03%
33 B 26.23% 61 NEW
34 B 26.22% 143 ▼-11.28%
35 B 26.02% 171 ▼-10.5%
36 B 25.83% 120 ~
37 B 25.69% 36 NEW
38 B 25.68% 37 ▲+18.18%
39 B 25.66% 38 NEW
40 B 25.63% 40 ▼-20.58%
41 B 25.41% 181 ~
42 B 25.34% 657 ▼-8.32%
43 B 25.22% 112 ~
44 B 25.16% 79 NEW
45 B 25.11% 356 ~
46 B 25.0% 16 NEW
47 B 25.0% 16 NEW
48 B 24.79% 240 ~
49 B 24.71% 85 ▼-6.19%
50 B 23.89% 361 ~
51 B 23.61% 18 ▼-13.29%
52 B 23.14% 47 ▼-5.54%
53 B 23.08% 26 NEW
54 C 22.45% 98 ▼-3.36%
55 C 22.11% 160 ▼-4.36%
56 C 22.0% 50 ~
57 C 21.47% 1523 ▼-8.85%
58 C 21.2% 46 ▲+7.56%
59 C 20.76% 416 ▼-3.59%
60 C 20.31% 16 ▲+9.48%
61 C 20.29% 677 ~
62 C 20.25% 216 ~
63 C 20.14% 18 NEW
64 C 20.13% 113 ▲+4.5%
65 C 19.71% 52 ▼-8.7%
66 C 19.62% 93 ▼-3.99%
67 C 19.62% 65 ~
68 C 19.51% 148 ▼-5.03%
69 C 19.44% 27 NEW
70 C 19.23% 26 ~
71 C 19.08% 38 NEW
72 C 19.02% 46 ▼-18.94%
73 C 18.72% 231 ▼-4.76%
74 C 18.55% 31 NEW
75 C 18.44% 61 NEW
76 C 18.18% 22 NEW
77 D 17.97% 96 ▼-8.77%
78 D 17.86% 21 ▲+9.53%
79 D 17.86% 49 ▼-5.82%
80 D 17.31% 26 NEW
81 D 17.16% 67 NEW
82 D 17.05% 22 NEW
83 D 16.25% 30 NEW
84 D 16.18% 17 ▼-4.13%
85 D 15.68% 55 ▼-9.32%
86 D 15.63% 40 ▼-10.18%
87 D 15.57% 61 ▼-13.81%
88 D 15.55% 41 NEW
89 D 15.43% 47 ▼-3.32%
90 D 15.24% 41 NEW
91 D 15.0% 20 NEW
92 D 14.89% 47 ▼-6.64%
93 D 14.79% 120 ▼-6.64%
94 D 14.71% 17 ▼-11.12%
95 D 14.49% 69 ▼-5.78%
96 D 14.25% 100 NEW
97 D 14.09% 55 ▼-3.77%
98 D 13.77% 69 ▲+5.02%
99 D 13.0% 25 ~
100 D 12.93% 29 ▼-10.98%
101 D 12.04% 137 ~
102 D 11.76% 17 NEW
103 D 11.57% 54 ▼-7.18%
104 D 11.29% 31 NEW
105 D 11.11% 27 NEW
106 D 8.82% 17 NEW
107 D 8.75% 20 NEW
108 D 6.82% 22 NEW
109 D 3.0% 25 NEW

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 24.77% win rate across 14,593 tracked casual Commander games in the last 90 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 109 Red commanders with at least 15 recorded games and at least 4 distinct registered pilots in the last 90 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 90 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: