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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Top Red commanders by win rate right now: Birgi, God of Storytelling // Harnfel, Horn of Bounty, Zirilan of the Claw, and Muxus, Goblin Grandee. Red commanders have a 25.61% win rate across 34,140 games tracked in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

104
Ranked
34,140
Games
Win Rate
25.61%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
34,140
Last 365 Days
Avg Game Length
1h 49m
7.9 rounds
Commanders
104
With 40+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (43.1% of wins) across 34,140 tracked games.

Combat 43.1%
Non Combat Damage 36.8%
Commander Damage 9.0%
Combo 7.4%
Alternative 2.7%
Mill 0.5%
Poison 0.5%

Game Concentration

10 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

10
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

295 of 506 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

58.3%
Coverage
295 played 506 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

104
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 38.59% 46 ▲+12.05%
2 S 38.37% 101 ~
3 S 35.66% 258 ~
4 S 35.09% 275 ▲+6.36%
5 A 33.89% 45 NEW
6 A 33.59% 64 NEW
7 A 32.36% 260 ▲+6.42%
8 A 31.78% 118 ▲+8.97%
9 A 31.59% 1959 ~
10 A 31.53% 245 ▼-5.59%
11 A 31.35% 193 ~
12 A 31.35% 780 ~
13 A 31.19% 198 ~
14 A 30.88% 119 ▲+5.64%
15 A 30.74% 74 NEW
16 A 30.72% 411 ~
17 A 30.7% 57 NEW
18 A 30.57% 1745 ~
19 A 30.26% 57 ~
20 A 30.02% 1181 NEW
21 B 29.9% 209 NEW
22 B 29.76% 210 ▼-5.99%
23 B 29.41% 68 ~
24 B 29.24% 661 ~
25 B 29.19% 6441 ~
26 B 28.5% 50 ▲+8.35%
27 B 28.38% 207 NEW
28 B 28.31% 295 ~
29 B 27.53% 79 NEW
30 B 27.3% 76 NEW
31 B 26.74% 129 ▼-6.9%
32 B 26.48% 228 ▼-4.18%
33 B 26.37% 256 ~
34 B 26.3% 289 ▲+3.84%
35 B 26.27% 59 ▼-3.45%
36 B 26.01% 1192 ~
37 B 25.87% 86 NEW
38 B 25.79% 378 ▼-7.26%
39 B 25.77% 98 ~
40 B 25.69% 491 ~
41 B 25.65% 328 ~
42 B 25.59% 718 ~
43 B 25.45% 167 ~
44 B 25.44% 113 ▼-7.7%
45 B 25.32% 1485 ▲+3.77%
46 B 25.0% 92 NEW
47 B 24.69% 81 ~
48 B 24.42% 43 NEW
49 B 24.34% 76 NEW
50 B 24.32% 146 ▼-3.66%
51 B 24.16% 89 ▲+11.39%
52 B 23.27% 383 ▼-4.54%
53 B 23.26% 331 NEW
54 B 23.21% 42 NEW
55 C 22.92% 48 ▲+9.59%
56 C 22.78% 45 ▲+5.54%
57 C 22.62% 189 NEW
58 C 22.54% 112 ▼-3.19%
59 C 22.48% 626 ~
60 C 22.48% 644 ▼-3.31%
61 C 21.9% 250 NEW
62 C 21.88% 112 ▼-8.97%
63 C 21.59% 909 ~
64 C 21.51% 43 NEW
65 C 21.45% 141 ▲+3.07%
66 C 21.36% 470 ▼-3.28%
67 C 20.61% 114 ▼-5.15%
68 C 20.08% 198 ~
69 C 20.06% 162 ▲+3.35%
70 C 20.06% 410 ▼-3.17%
71 C 19.79% 307 ~
72 C 19.56% 464 ~
73 C 19.4% 67 ▼-4.07%
74 C 19.19% 71 ~
75 C 19.0% 50 NEW
76 C 18.98% 187 ▼-9.9%
77 C 18.92% 148 ~
78 C 18.75% 40 NEW
79 C 18.61% 180 ~
80 C 18.46% 65 ~
81 C 18.41% 273 NEW
82 C 18.12% 1713 NEW
83 D 17.73% 55 NEW
84 D 17.39% 46 NEW
85 D 17.06% 107 NEW
86 D 16.67% 60 ▼-18.91%
87 D 16.57% 175 ▼-6.03%
88 D 16.39% 74 NEW
89 D 16.04% 53 NEW
90 D 16.01% 164 ~
91 D 15.73% 62 NEW
92 D 15.6% 109 ▼-13.64%
93 D 15.56% 98 ▼-4.55%
94 D 14.83% 59 NEW
95 D 14.62% 224 ~
96 D 14.38% 73 ▼-5.5%
97 D 14.06% 64 NEW
98 D 13.33% 60 ▼-5.86%
99 D 13.07% 44 NEW
100 D 13.02% 48 NEW
101 D 12.5% 82 ~
102 D 12.23% 47 NEW
103 D 12.09% 154 NEW
104 D 11.79% 53 ▼-9.21%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 25.61% win rate across 34,140 tracked casual Commander games in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 104 Red commanders with at least 40 recorded games and at least 7 distinct registered pilots in the last 365 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 365 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: