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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 26.17% win rate across 27,880 games tracked in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

87
Ranked
27,880
Games
Win Rate
26.17%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
27,880
Last 365 Days
Avg Game Length
1h 12m
8.0 rounds
Commanders
87
With 40+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (42.5% of wins) across 27,880 tracked games.

Combat 42.5%
Non Combat Damage 37.4%
Commander Damage 9.3%
Combo 7.3%
Alternative 2.5%
Poison 0.5%
Mill 0.4%

Game Concentration

11 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

11
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

259 of 425 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

60.9%
Coverage
259 played 425 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

87
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 37.26% 206 ~
2 S 35.78% 51 +8.64%
3 S 35.71% 91 +9.59%
4 S 35.57% 253 +5.32%
5 S 35.02% 212 +6.03%
6 A 34.87% 195 NEW
7 A 33.5% 250 -4.78%
8 A 33.09% 275 +8.05%
9 A 32.18% 216 ~
10 A 31.99% 816 NEW
11 A 31.18% 445 ~
12 A 31.15% 61 ~
13 A 31.06% 132 ~
14 A 31.03% 1703 ~
15 A 30.8% 1138 ~
16 A 30.39% 51 NEW
17 A 30.09% 678 NEW
18 A 30.04% 258 ~
19 B 29.78% 68 ~
20 B 29.59% 5299 ~
21 B 28.9% 218 +7.19%
22 B 28.9% 436 +4.49%
23 B 28.5% 293 +5.32%
24 B 28.23% 611 ~
25 B 28.15% 357 ~
26 B 27.66% 94 NEW
27 B 27.41% 83 ~
28 B 26.54% 81 NEW
29 B 26.32% 95 NEW
30 B 26.12% 668 ~
31 B 25.69% 72 +7.06%
32 B 25.55% 1049 ~
33 B 25.46% 272 +3.35%
34 B 25.42% 60 NEW
35 B 25.33% 299 +3.1%
36 B 24.92% 623 ~
37 B 24.77% 107 ~
38 B 24.75% 102 ~
39 B 24.64% 69 NEW
40 B 24.34% 227 NEW
41 B 24.24% 164 -7.28%
42 B 24.13% 1400 NEW
43 B 23.95% 143 +5.0%
44 B 23.94% 47 +10.15%
45 B 23.86% 110 -8.95%
46 B 23.77% 162 ~
47 B 23.37% 369 -3.96%
48 B 23.32% 164 NEW
49 B 23.26% 43 ~
50 B 23.01% 680 ~
51 C 22.95% 61 ~
52 C 22.69% 54 -11.62%
53 C 22.65% 85 ~
54 C 22.31% 334 NEW
55 C 22.19% 649 -4.18%
56 C 22.02% 42 -9.23%
57 C 21.56% 211 NEW
58 C 20.73% 158 ~
59 C 20.52% 106 -5.47%
60 C 20.26% 116 ~
61 C 20.21% 360 ~
62 C 20.14% 144 ~
63 C 19.94% 84 -5.68%
64 C 19.91% 54 -12.04%
65 C 19.89% 44 NEW
66 C 19.57% 46 ~
67 C 18.9% 41 -6.39%
68 C 18.63% 267 ~
69 C 18.57% 136 -10.95%
70 C 18.18% 55 +4.93%
71 C 18.09% 47 NEW
72 C 18.08% 65 NEW
73 D 17.92% 53 NEW
74 D 17.78% 180 ~
75 D 17.77% 121 ~
76 D 17.36% 1080 NEW
77 D 16.52% 171 -13.94%
78 D 16.44% 73 ~
79 D 16.23% 208 +4.43%
80 D 15.96% 83 -5.2%
81 D 15.75% 154 -8.43%
82 D 15.0% 60 -5.05%
83 D 14.0% 50 NEW
84 D 13.83% 94 -3.24%
85 D 13.3% 47 -4.23%
86 D 12.63% 97 NEW
87 D 6.67% 45 -10.69%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 26.17% win rate across 27,880 tracked casual Commander games in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 87 Red commanders with at least 40 recorded games and at least 7 distinct registered pilots in the last 365 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 365 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: