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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 25.7% win rate across 38,941 games tracked in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

114
Ranked
38,941
Games
Win Rate
25.7%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
38,941
Last 365 Days
Avg Game Length
2h 5m
7.9 rounds
Commanders
114
With 40+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (44.0% of wins) across 38,941 tracked games.

Combat 44.0%
Non Combat Damage 35.6%
Commander Damage 9.1%
Combo 7.4%
Alternative 2.9%
Mill 0.5%
Poison 0.4%

Game Concentration

11 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

11
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

307 of 562 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

54.6%
Coverage
307 played 562 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

114
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 47.54% 61 ▲+20.85%
2 S 43.55% 124 ▲+8.23%
3 A 34.66% 282 ~
4 A 34.03% 119 ▲+10.8%
5 A 33.75% 100 NEW
6 A 33.73% 292 ▲+4.51%
7 A 32.65% 49 NEW
8 A 32.41% 2015 ~
9 A 32.32% 861 ~
10 A 32.05% 117 ▲+6.36%
11 A 31.54% 413 ~
12 A 31.42% 265 NEW
13 A 31.37% 204 ~
14 A 30.69% 266 ▲+3.49%
15 A 30.59% 76 ~
16 A 30.48% 210 ~
17 A 30.24% 286 NEW
18 A 30.06% 311 ~
19 B 29.98% 1984 ~
20 B 29.85% 1319 ▼-7.65%
21 B 29.63% 54 ▲+11.83%
22 B 29.59% 234 ▼-5.55%
23 B 29.42% 6904 ~
24 B 29.37% 63 NEW
25 B 29.24% 283 ▼-8.53%
26 B 29.0% 100 ▲+3.78%
27 B 28.23% 116 ▼-3.76%
28 B 28.23% 58 NEW
29 B 28.21% 148 ▲+6.68%
30 B 28.13% 655 ~
31 B 28.1% 133 ▼-6.28%
32 B 27.81% 89 NEW
33 B 27.73% 64 ▼-3.29%
34 B 27.41% 317 ▲+4.2%
35 B 27.03% 123 NEW
36 B 26.91% 144 ~
37 B 26.81% 290 ~
38 B 26.81% 83 NEW
39 B 26.5% 1231 ~
40 B 26.16% 259 ▼-3.35%
41 B 25.83% 60 ▼-7.89%
42 B 25.69% 400 ▼-8.06%
43 B 25.63% 1487 ▲+3.73%
44 B 25.59% 758 ~
45 B 25.55% 385 ~
46 B 25.4% 63 NEW
47 B 25.16% 79 NEW
48 B 25.0% 58 ~
49 B 24.39% 41 NEW
50 B 24.17% 90 ▲+11.67%
51 B 24.02% 128 NEW
52 B 23.93% 374 NEW
53 B 23.27% 528 ▼-7.47%
54 B 23.14% 671 ~
55 C 22.96% 49 ▲+8.74%
56 C 22.48% 208 ▼-4.08%
57 C 22.44% 400 ▼-5.11%
58 C 22.42% 233 ~
59 C 22.31% 65 NEW
60 C 22.28% 734 ~
61 C 22.18% 71 ~
62 C 22.17% 1017 ~
63 C 22.14% 1715 ~
64 C 22.09% 223 ▲+4.29%
65 C 21.99% 481 ~
66 C 21.98% 124 ▼-10.0%
67 C 21.88% 56 NEW
68 C 21.77% 124 ▼-6.03%
69 C 21.48% 494 NEW
70 C 21.47% 78 NEW
71 C 21.34% 574 ~
72 C 21.23% 53 NEW
73 C 21.19% 59 ▲+5.44%
74 C 20.85% 307 ▲+3.98%
75 C 20.52% 173 ~
76 C 20.27% 148 ~
77 C 19.77% 43 NEW
78 C 19.77% 43 ▼-12.17%
79 C 19.43% 92 NEW
80 C 19.32% 44 ▼-11.93%
81 C 19.21% 1988 NEW
82 C 19.0% 75 NEW
83 C 18.89% 45 NEW
84 C 18.65% 61 NEW
85 C 18.63% 157 ~
86 C 18.6% 129 ▼-9.18%
87 C 18.44% 80 ▼-4.56%
88 C 18.33% 45 NEW
89 C 18.21% 173 ~
90 C 18.21% 173 ~
91 C 18.2% 147 ▼-5.24%
92 C 18.01% 68 NEW
93 D 17.58% 128 NEW
94 D 17.5% 90 NEW
95 D 17.28% 246 ▼-5.77%
96 D 17.06% 63 NEW
97 D 16.93% 161 ~
98 D 16.91% 68 NEW
99 D 16.67% 45 NEW
100 D 16.04% 53 NEW
101 D 15.71% 113 NEW
102 D 15.69% 102 ▼-3.54%
103 D 14.5% 50 ▼-10.5%
104 D 14.34% 61 NEW
105 D 14.02% 41 NEW
106 D 13.79% 223 ~
107 D 13.39% 70 ▼-8.45%
108 D 13.37% 43 NEW
109 D 13.07% 44 NEW
110 D 12.76% 49 ▼-5.61%
111 D 12.57% 191 NEW
112 D 12.11% 64 ▼-6.94%
113 D 10.98% 66 ▼-9.34%
114 D 10.98% 82 ~

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

Frequently Asked

What is the win rate for Red commanders?
Red commanders have a 25.7% win rate across 38,941 tracked casual Commander games in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.
How many Red commanders are tracked?
Playgroup.gg tracks 114 Red commanders with at least 40 recorded games and at least 7 distinct registered pilots in the last 365 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.
How are Red commander rankings calculated?
Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.
How often is the Red data updated?
Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 365 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.
Last updated: