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Data-Backed · Win Rates

Red Commanders

Red commanders have a 26.28% win rate across 32,621 games tracked in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg, above the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

98
Ranked
32,621
Games
Win Rate
26.28%
vs 25% expected
Games Tracked
32,621
Last 365 Days
Avg Game Length
-19m
7.9 rounds
Commanders
98
With 40+ games

Win Conditions

Red commanders most commonly win through Combat (40.0% of wins) across 32,621 tracked games.

Combat 40.0%
Non Combat Damage 34.7%
Commander Damage 11.2%
Combo 9.0%
Alternative 3.8%
Mill 0.8%
Poison 0.5%

Game Concentration

14 commanders account for 50% of all Red games. The curve shows how games are distributed from the most-played to the least-played commander.

14
50% Coverage
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Commander Coverage

261 of 357 Red commanders have appeared in at least one tracked game.

73.1%
Coverage
261 played 357 total
Rankings

Red Commanders by Win Rate

98
Entries
# Tier Win Rate Games Trend Commander
1 S 37.42% 155 +7.77%
2 S 36.44% 59 +11.19%
3 S 35.96% 187 ~
4 S 35.24% 254 +5.66%
5 A 34.51% 92 +9.21%
6 A 34.4% 242 -4.11%
7 A 34.38% 176 NEW
8 A 34.36% 227 +4.93%
9 A 33.64% 55 ~
10 A 33.47% 62 ~
11 A 32.35% 660 NEW
12 A 32.02% 203 +3.83%
13 A 31.62% 253 ~
14 A 31.53% 134 ~
15 A 31.41% 1724 ~
16 A 31.32% 178 +3.63%
17 A 31.0% 50 NEW
18 A 30.93% 443 ~
19 A 30.83% 180 NEW
20 A 30.64% 745 ~
21 A 30.43% 414 +6.89%
22 A 30.43% 221 +8.83%
23 B 29.66% 306 +3.04%
24 B 29.54% 793 ~
25 B 29.5% 350 ~
26 B 29.3% 5204 ~
27 B 29.07% 615 NEW
28 B 28.59% 397 +5.4%
29 B 28.31% 590 ~
30 B 27.9% 250 ~
31 B 27.47% 2225 ~
32 B 26.84% 68 +3.68%
33 B 26.58% 79 NEW
34 B 26.43% 298 ~
35 B 26.41% 1061 ~
36 B 26.1% 748 -5.58%
37 B 25.68% 74 +4.18%
38 B 25.67% 636 ~
39 B 25.64% 551 ~
40 B 25.5% 100 -5.58%
41 B 25.47% 691 ~
42 B 25.26% 95 NEW
43 B 25.0% 84 ~
44 B 25.0% 57 NEW
45 B 25.0% 102 +4.95%
46 B 24.86% 183 ~
47 B 24.76% 104 NEW
48 B 24.7% 82 -3.71%
49 B 24.67% 300 +4.31%
50 B 24.23% 130 -6.65%
51 B 24.21% 63 NEW
52 B 24.12% 341 ~
53 B 23.99% 543 ~
54 B 23.93% 304 ~
55 B 23.69% 686 ~
56 B 23.67% 1274 NEW
57 B 23.63% 91 +4.84%
58 B 23.57% 105 ~
59 B 23.47% 669 ~
60 B 23.22% 253 -8.5%
61 B 23.1% 211 NEW
62 C 22.93% 458 -4.92%
63 C 22.73% 44 -8.75%
64 C 22.5% 60 -14.4%
65 C 22.34% 301 NEW
66 C 21.88% 120 ~
67 C 21.68% 143 NEW
68 C 21.39% 166 +5.05%
69 C 21.25% 180 NEW
70 C 21.01% 138 -8.07%
71 C 20.83% 138 ~
72 C 20.78% 160 -3.46%
73 C 20.41% 49 -4.88%
74 C 20.35% 43 NEW
75 C 20.13% 77 +3.55%
76 C 19.79% 72 -7.48%
77 C 19.45% 356 ~
78 C 19.39% 49 NEW
79 C 19.29% 184 -11.27%
80 C 19.11% 327 -8.43%
81 C 18.95% 62 NEW
82 C 18.75% 272 ~
83 C 18.44% 61 -8.77%
84 C 18.18% 66 NEW
85 D 17.97% 192 ~
86 D 17.73% 55 +3.67%
87 D 17.34% 124 ~
88 D 16.96% 867 NEW
89 D 16.86% 43 ~
90 D 16.67% 57 ~
91 D 16.49% 194 +3.82%
92 D 16.18% 51 -17.6%
93 D 14.58% 343 -3.96%
94 D 13.89% 54 NEW
95 D 13.18% 55 -5.42%
96 D 12.88% 66 -8.21%
97 D 11.28% 82 NEW
98 D 8.33% 48 -9.09%

Faded win rates indicate low sample size (fewer than 50 games). Rankings may shift as more data is collected.

FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the win rate for Red commanders?

Red commanders have a 26.28% win rate across 32,621 tracked casual Commander games in the last 365 days on Playgroup.gg. The 4-player expected baseline is 25%.

How many Red commanders are tracked?

Playgroup.gg tracks 98 Red commanders with at least 40 recorded games and at least 7 distinct registered pilots in the last 365 days. The pilot diversity floor stops a single grinder from skewing the ranking with their pet deck.

How are Red commander rankings calculated?

Rankings use pod-size-normalized win rates from games tracked through the Playgroup.gg app. A win in a 2-player game and a win in a 5-player game are weighted fairly against the 25% expected baseline for 4-player Commander.

How often is the Red data updated?

Stats refresh every 6 hours. The last 365 days window means rankings shift gradually as new games are recorded and older games age out of the window.

Last updated: